PolyScott

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes
41.5%
▲ 3.0% 24h
No
58.5%
▼ 3.0% 24h

24h volume$258.89K

Probability

  • Yes41.5%
  • No58.5%
Dots mark big trades
22%36%50%64%78%10/28/202611/4/2026

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$0$0
No$12.85K$13.29K

Participating traders

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.