PolyScott

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
1.8%
▲ 0.1% 24h
No
98.2%
▼ 0.1% 24h

24h volume$48.74K

Probability

  • Yes1.8%
  • No98.2%
Dots mark big trades
0%25%50%75%100%No · Sell $18.06K · 98.2¢No · Sell $10.01K · 98.0¢No · Buy $11.09K · 97.9¢No · Sell $22.74K · 96.8¢No · Buy $24.16K · 97.0¢10/29/202611/5/2026
$18.06K
SellNo
98¢
Medoed69
Just now18.4K
Unusual
$10.01K
SellNo
98¢
videlake
Just now10.2K
Unusual
$11.09K
BuyNo
98¢
videlake
Just now11.3K
Unusual
$22.74K
SellNo
97¢
texture
Just now23.5K
Unusual
$24.16K
BuyNo
97¢
IGORS
Just now24.9K
Unusual
$18.84K
SellNo
95¢
Constantinus
Just now19.9K
Unusual
$11.96K
BuyNo
95¢
allenzzz
Just now12.6K
Unusual
$26.01K
SellNo
96¢
BunCaCham
Just now27K
Unusual
$15.6K
BuyNo
96¢
feeder-of-markets
Just now16.3K
Unusual
$25.93K
BuyNo
96¢
Serene-Decision
Just now27K
Unusual
$11K
BuyNo
97¢
Rafael88
Just now11.3K
Unusual
$53.72K
BuyNo
97¢
elmcap2
Just now55.3K
Unusual
$10.71K
BuyNo
97¢
Lolololol
Just now11K
Unusual
$49.73K
BuyNo
97¢
elmcap2
Just now51.3K
Unusual
$34.29K
BuyNo
97¢
elmcap2
Just now35.5K
Unusual
$11.87K
BuyNo
96¢
QMG-CORE
Just now12.4K
Unusual
$17.5K
BuyNo
96¢
Flaky-Machine
Just now18.2K
Unusual
$42.5K
BuyNo
96¢
Flaky-Machine
Just now44.3K
Unusual
$11.16K
SellNo
96¢
Top1-J
Just now11.7K
Unusual
$11.98K
SellNo
95¢
yingxer
Just now12.6K
Unusual

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$0$0
No$1.22M$874.8K

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.