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Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Trade on Polymarket ↗
Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%

Weekly probability · dots mark big trades

Yes

0.0%0.3%0.5%10/27/202611/3/2026

No

99.5%99.7%100.0%10/27/202611/3/2026
24h volume
$329K
Total volume
$22.91M
End date
11/8/2028
Yes 0.1¢
No 100.0¢
Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$0$0
No$372.17K$223.55K

Recent big trades

  • 0x1afa…72d7Sell · No$39.29KUnusual99.2¢
  • 0x1afa…72d7Buy · No$39.33KUnusual99.3¢
  • 0x388f…9e77Sell · No$15.36K99.2¢
  • 0x388f…9e77Buy · No$15.38KUnusual99.3¢
  • 0xe775…8f09Sell · No$13.68K99.3¢
  • 0xe775…8f09Buy · No$13.69KUnusual99.4¢
  • 0xca5f…8ec8Sell · No$14.2K99.3¢
  • 0xca5f…8ec8Buy · No$14.22KUnusual99.4¢
  • 0xb70a…4ff3Sell · No$15.52K99.2¢
  • 0xb70a…4ff3Buy · No$15.54KUnusual99.3¢
  • 0xa968…7af5Sell · No$15.52K99.2¢
  • 0xa968…7af5Buy · No$15.53KUnusual99.3¢
  • 0xdd10…eb14Buy · No$13.87KUnusual99.1¢
  • 0x9b76…0fe3Buy · No$16.75KUnusual99.2¢
  • 0x64f8…8cadBuy · No$20.04KUnusual99.2¢
  • 0x9b76…0fe3Buy · No$20.31KUnusual99.2¢
  • 0xaaa9…2224Sell · No$20.54KUnusual99.2¢
  • 0xaaa9…2224Sell · No$50.59KUnusual99.2¢
  • 0xaaa9…2224Sell · No$28.77KUnusual99.2¢
  • 0xaaa9…2224Buy · No$100KUnusual99.3¢

Participating traders