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Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket ↗
Yes
99.5%
No
0.5%

Weekly probability · dots mark big trades

Yes

95.8%97.9%100.0%Buy $12.64K · 99.1¢Buy $23.68K · 98.8¢Buy $20K · 98.3¢Buy $27.32K · 98.1¢Buy $19.95K · 98.1¢Sell $15.72K · 98.2¢Buy $17.83K · 98.4¢Buy $10.23K · 98.1¢Buy $50K · 98.1¢Sell $25.55K · 97.1¢Sell $16.72K · 97.1¢Buy $18.86K · 97.9¢Buy $52.58K · 97.2¢Sell $18.83K · 96.5¢10/28/202611/4/2026

No

0.0%2.1%4.2%10/28/202611/4/2026
24h volume
$374.21K
Total volume
$3.46M
End date
11/4/2026
Yes 99.5¢
No 0.5¢
Resolution rules

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$330.69K$121.94K
No$0$0

Recent big trades

  • 0xec98…afcdBuy · Yes$12.64KUnusual99.1¢
  • 0xa81e…03dcBuy · Yes$23.68KUnusual98.8¢
  • 0x4d22…df92Buy · Yes$20KUnusual98.3¢
  • 0xec98…afcdBuy · Yes$27.32KUnusual98.1¢
  • 0x4d22…df92Buy · Yes$19.95KUnusual98.1¢
  • 0x6575…b198Sell · Yes$15.72K98.2¢
  • 0xed10…d2e5Buy · Yes$17.83KUnusual98.4¢
  • 0xed10…d2e5Buy · Yes$10.23KUnusual98.1¢
  • 0xe40b…cdfdBuy · Yes$50KUnusual98.1¢
  • 0xa30e…49d5Sell · Yes$25.55KUnusual97.1¢
  • 0x9e87…caa2Sell · Yes$16.72K97.1¢
  • 0xed10…d2e5Buy · Yes$18.86KUnusual97.9¢
  • 0xed10…d2e5Buy · Yes$52.58KUnusual97.2¢
  • 0xeb6f…25f0Sell · Yes$18.83KUnusual96.5¢
  • 0x9c26…74bcSell · Yes$10.11K96.3¢
  • 0xb32b…4a7aSell · Yes$11.84K96.4¢
  • 0xed10…d2e5Buy · Yes$22.57KUnusual96.8¢
  • 0x9e87…caa2Buy · Yes$12.59KUnusual96.1¢
  • 0xdf70…5e92Buy · Yes$10.32KUnusual95.1¢
  • 0xa2b4…3daaSell · Yes$13.13K93.3¢

Participating traders