All markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- Yes
- 2.2%
- No
- 97.8%
- 24h volume
- $1.18M
- Total volume
- $44.63M
- End date
- 1/1/2027
Yes 2.1¢
No 97.9¢
Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K
Buy / sell by outcome
| Markets | Buy | Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | $10.8K | $37.31K |
| No | $3.51M | $1.16M |
Recent big trades
- 0xa2cd…2ba0Buy · No$612.08KUnusual98.0¢
- 0xa2cd…2ba0Buy · No$386.52KUnusual97.9¢
- 0x55b4…80eaBuy · No$19.36KUnusual98.1¢
- 0xed10…d2e5Buy · No$44.03KUnusual97.2¢
- 0xed10…d2e5Buy · No$19.08KUnusual97.0¢
- 0x3fec…2b67Sell · No$31.33K96.8¢
- 0x2117…5c26Sell · No$11.38K96.0¢
- 0xc88e…f3e1Buy · No$18.82KUnusual96.1¢
- 0xc97b…47e5Buy · No$10.27KUnusual95.7¢
- 0x55b4…80eaBuy · No$10.73KUnusual96.1¢
- 0xa3a3…c2f9Buy · No$132.47KUnusual96.0¢
- 0x410a…2643Buy · No$19.58KUnusual95.4¢
- 0x2117…5c26Buy · No$11.48KUnusual95.7¢
- 0xc0cd…0aa9Buy · No$13.27KUnusual95.8¢
- 0xc550…272dBuy · No$12.3KUnusual95.6¢
- 0xa9f3…4bceBuy · No$12.16KUnusual95.4¢
- 0xed10…d2e5Buy · No$68.16KUnusual95.0¢
- 0x8b88…5f5eBuy · No$18KUnusual95.8¢
- 0xd8d5…8935Sell · No$15.99K94.2¢
- 0xd8d5…8935Sell · No$18.66K95.4¢
Participating traders
0xa2cd…2ba00x55b4…80ea0xed10…d2e50x3fec…2b670x2117…5c260xc88e…f3e10xc97b…47e50xa3a3…c2f90x410a…26430xc0cd…0aa90xc550…272d0xa9f3…4bce0x8b88…5f5e0xd8d5…89350x8dec…3c200xdc71…d0330xbcf3…9d880xf625…55a80x5c6b…f32b0x2202…87870x6ae1…1e7e0xbca1…71810x0c0e…434e0x0b64…49bd0x7460…29360xffd3…7c750xe8ff…c93b0xe306…627e0xaf23…377f0x17c0…8ee90x4cb5…b5360x8dc0…c3a50xea42…6b0d0x9355…038d0xa667…ceb30x2daa…2af30x8349…c99d0xf4d4…c3f90xdf1c…2ebb0x52e3…82d20xe5b7…5ee30xe0a5…f6a40x5712…09a90x5bff…ffbe0xf230…bbfb0x5882…55a20x2559…20320x12b8…479c0x6b25…89630xe28a…80720xe192…c2370xcb23…173e0x1de9…831d0xac48…2feb0xddb4…339d0xa3ff…540e0x3006…e9f40xfb74…15130x7b98…b1be0x3ad6…d9df0xdfb8…23ea
Probability · dots mark big trades
- Yes2.1%
- No97.9%
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.