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Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

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Yes
91.5%
No
8.5%

Weekly probability · dots mark big trades

Yes

Yes67.2%81.3%95.3%Buy $17.4K · 87.0¢Buy $14.88K · 88.7¢Buy $22.98K · 71.0¢Buy $12.73K · 70.0¢10/28/202611/4/2026

No

No5.2%19.0%32.8%10/28/202611/4/2026
24h volume
$466.51K
Total volume
$1.97M
End date
11/4/2026
Yes 91.5¢
No 8.5¢
Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$156.81K$46.63K
No$0$0

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