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Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Trade on Polymarket ↗
Yes
4.3%
No
95.7%
24h volume
$343.91K
Total volume
$2.38M
End date
6/3/2026

Probability · dots mark big trades

Yes

Yes0%25%50%75%100%Buy $12.11K · 57.0¢4.3%10/28/202611/4/2026

No

No0%25%50%75%100%95.8%10/28/202611/4/2026
Yes4.3%▼ 54.3% 24hBuy on Polymarket: Yes ↗
No95.7%▲ 54.3% 24hBuy on Polymarket: No ↗
Resolution rules

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.