PolyScott

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
1.8%
▲ 0.0% 24h
No
98.2%
▲ 0.0% 24h

24h volume$238.54K

Probability

  • Yes1.8%
  • No98.2%
Dots mark big trades
0%25%50%75%100%10/29/202611/5/2026
$19.84K
BuyNo
99¢
psychicpsychic
Just now20K
Unusual
$19.62K
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99¢
CryptoDynamo
Just now19.8K
Unusual
$20.03K
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99¢
arden09
Just now20.2K
Unusual
$11.89K
BuyNo
99¢
CryptoDynamo
Just now12K
Unusual
$11.3K
BuyNo
99¢
CryptoDynamo
Just now11.4K
Unusual
$10.4K
BuyNo
99¢
shyxxp
Just now10.5K
Unusual
$10.4K
BuyNo
99¢
arden09
Just now10.5K
Unusual
$14.12K
BuyNo
99¢
arden09
Just now14.3K
Unusual
$12.29K
BuyNo
99¢
CryptoDynamo
Just now12.4K
Unusual
$11.5K
BuyNo
99¢
Starlightt
Just now11.6K
Unusual
$19.82K
BuyNo
99¢
CryptoDynamo
Just now20K
Unusual

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$0$0
No$161.2K$10.39K

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.