Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Live probability · Updated
- Yes
- 72.5% ▲ 4.0% 24h
- No
- 27.5% ▼ 2.0% 24h
24h volume$165.94K
Probability
- Yes72.5%
- No27.5%
- 24h volume
- $165.94K
- Total volume
- $1.58M
- End date
- 11/29/2026
Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K
Buy / sell by outcome
| Markets | Buy | Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | $79.3K | $45.48K |
| No | $11.4K | $0 |
Participating traders
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).