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Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Trade on Polymarket ↗
24h volume
$491,706
Total volume
$32,263,330
End date
10/28/2026
Yes 33.5¢
No 66.5¢
Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Weekly probability · dots mark big trades

Yes

0%50%100%Sell $21,597 · 30.9¢Sell $15,552 · 34.6¢Sell $12,143 · 34.0¢Sell $17,500 · 35.0¢Sell $31,756 · 43.4¢Buy $45,000 · 45.0¢Sell $23,997 · 41.9¢Buy $11,776 · 46.0¢Sell $12,543 · 44.0¢Sell $17,561 · 44.1¢Sell $22,158 · 44.7¢Sell $12,994 · 45.0¢Buy $13,747 · 46.0¢Sell $12,116 · 45.2¢Sell $10,767 · 45.0¢Sell $55,817 · 47.3¢Sell $31,263 · 48.9¢Sell $18,376 · 51.0¢Sell $15,502 · 50.4¢Sell $10,061 · 42.5¢Sell $39,722 · 44.2¢Sell $19,117 · 46.8¢Buy $23,500 · 47.0¢Sell $68,235 · 44.6¢Sell $24,022 · 47.5¢Buy $13,160 · 51.2¢Sell $15,230 · 42.1¢Sell $13,015 · 43.0¢Sell $23,874 · 45.7¢Sell $13,465 · 43.4¢Sell $23,567 · 45.4¢Sell $18,394 · 48.0¢Buy $20,000 · 52.2¢Sell $24,932 · 48.0¢Buy $11,000 · 49.0¢Buy $29,953 · 54.9¢Buy $12,791 · 60.0¢Buy $13,784 · 59.2¢Buy $11,000 · 55.0¢Sell $18,954 · 47.4¢Buy $27,940 · 48.0¢Buy $12,899 · 47.0¢Buy $17,299 · 45.0¢Buy $10,970 · 44.8¢Buy $60,000 · 40.0¢Buy $19,970 · 37.4¢Buy $13,000 · 27.7¢10/27/202611/3/2026

No

0%50%100%Buy $32,643 · 70.4¢Buy $13,380 · 68.0¢Sell $22,965 · 65.0¢Sell $145,505 · 65.0¢Sell $10,231 · 66.0¢Buy $10,021 · 61.0¢Sell $15,296 · 61.2¢Buy $15,721 · 61.0¢Buy $10,863 · 60.0¢Sell $15,877 · 52.1¢Sell $84,598 · 51.1¢Sell $10,615 · 53.1¢Sell $75,947 · 55.2¢Buy $11,200 · 56.0¢Buy $14,957 · 55.0¢Buy $20,093 · 49.0¢Sell $151,700 · 51.4¢Sell $10,116 · 50.0¢Sell $10,650 · 55.0¢Sell $16,440 · 54.2¢Sell $10,747 · 52.0¢Sell $10,252 · 55.0¢Sell $30,800 · 57.0¢Sell $17,504 · 47.0¢Sell $18,756 · 51.3¢Buy $52,139 · 50.0¢Sell $42,343 · 41.5¢Buy $62,275 · 44.0¢Sell $30,940 · 45.0¢Sell $18,729 · 46.0¢Sell $10,903 · 49.0¢Sell $13,071 · 50.0¢Buy $14,480 · 51.0¢Buy $10,400 · 52.0¢Buy $13,697 · 53.0¢Buy $17,175 · 58.0¢Buy $10,620 · 59.0¢Sell $19,758 · 56.5¢Sell $27,277 · 60.3¢Sell $12,000 · 60.0¢Buy $16,641 · 60.0¢Sell $19,987 · 53.1¢Sell $75,000 · 60.0¢Sell $11,625 · 62.0¢Sell $28,775 · 64.3¢Sell $45,422 · 61.6¢Sell $11,604 · 66.0¢Sell $12,250 · 66.1¢Sell $11,897 · 69.0¢Buy $18,619 · 68.0¢Sell $10,500 · 70.0¢Sell $17,750 · 71.0¢Sell $17,837 · 72.0¢10/27/202611/3/2026

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$367,789$644,230
No$344,924$1,095,668

Recent big trades

Participating traders

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