Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Live probability · Updated
- Yes
- 38.0% ▲ 7.5% 24h
- No
- 62.0% ▼ 8.5% 24h
24h volume$206.11K
Probability
- Yes38.0%
- No62.0%
Dots mark big trades
- 24h volume
- $206.11K
- Total volume
- $300.74K
- End date
- 12/1/2026
Yes 38.0¢
No 62.0¢
No data yet
Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K
Buy / sell by outcome
| Markets | Buy | Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | $0 | $0 |
| No | $0 | $0 |
Participating traders
No data yet
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.