Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Live probability · Updated
- Yes
- 0.3% ▼ 0.3% 24h
- No
- 99.7% ▲ 0.3% 24h
24h volume$147.73K
Probability
- Yes0.3%
- No99.7%
- 24h volume
- $147.73K
- Total volume
- $221.98K
- End date
- 11/6/2026
No data yet
Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K
Buy / sell by outcome
| Markets | Buy | Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | $0 | $0 |
| No | $0 | $0 |
Participating traders
No data yet
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.