PolyScott

Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz

Live probability · Updated

Matteo Berrettini
49.5%
— 24h
Carlos Alcaraz
50.5%
— 24h

24h volume$266.88K

Probability

  • Matteo Berrettini49.5%
  • Carlos Alcaraz50.5%
Dots mark big trades
6.3%28.27%50.25%72.23%94.2%Carlos Alcaraz · Buy $15.69K · 84.0¢Carlos Alcaraz · Buy $15.52K · 83.0¢11/5/202611/5/2026
$15.69K
BuyCarlos Alcaraz
84¢
ferrariChampions2026
Just now18.7K
Unusual
$15.52K
BuyCarlos Alcaraz
83¢
ferrariChampions2026
Just now18.7K
Unusual

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Matteo Berrettini$0$0
Carlos Alcaraz$31.21K$0

Participating traders

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Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Matteo Berrettini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.