Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

24 小时成交额: $562,510
总成交额: $76,713,851
结束日期: 2027/1/1

Yes 17.5¢

No 82.5¢

结算规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

一周概率 · 圆点为大单

Yes

No

最近 100 笔 ≥ $10K 成交

各结果买卖额

市场	买入	卖出
Yes	$55,961	$84,287
No	$851,325	$1,546,632

最近大单

0x3dca…3c13卖出 · No$13,10683.0¢2026/11/2 21:19:30 UTC
0xc4d1…8ce8卖出 · No$166,95584.0¢2026/11/2 09:35:04 UTC
0x8c80…02c3卖出 · Yes$16,45216.0¢2026/11/2 09:19:34 UTC
0x9592…a7b8卖出 · Yes$22,10017.0¢2026/11/2 05:39:51 UTC
0xe1fb…dfc7买入 · No$11,09483.0¢2026/11/1 08:11:58 UTC
0x7c3d…5c6b买入 · No$16,60083.0¢2026/10/30 15:25:21 UTC
0x7c3d…5c6b买入 · No$26,89181.9¢2026/10/30 00:06:27 UTC
0x7c3d…5c6b卖出 · No$36,59981.2¢2026/10/29 17:16:13 UTC
0xad96…d498买入 · No$46,15682.0¢2026/10/29 09:20:34 UTC
0xad96…d498买入 · No$28,66381.0¢2026/10/28 23:47:55 UTC
0x993f…3ee3买入 · No$19,96782.0¢2026/10/28 20:53:22 UTC
0x7f9e…3a0e卖出 · No$24,30081.0¢2026/10/26 17:25:05 UTC
0xeb49…693e买入 · No$35,00081.9¢2026/10/26 03:13:24 UTC
0x7f9e…3a0e卖出 · No$14,28880.0¢2026/10/25 03:02:35 UTC
0x8735…db43卖出 · No$12,16781.1¢2026/10/23 22:39:56 UTC
0x7f9e…3a0e卖出 · No$24,87682.9¢2026/10/23 17:30:15 UTC
0x712f…9fe6卖出 · No$16,80084.0¢2026/10/22 11:48:17 UTC
0x2b9d…adc0买入 · No$10,20085.0¢2026/10/22 09:00:35 UTC
0x894d…04e2买入 · No$34,76784.0¢2026/10/22 05:54:23 UTC
0xff1e…5e2d卖出 · No$20,00583.0¢2026/10/21 19:54:27 UTC

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

一周概率 · 圆点为大单

Yes

No

各结果买卖额

最近大单

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