PolyScott

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

实时概率 · 更新

Yes
5.5%
▼ 12.5% 24h
No
94.5%
▲ 12.5% 24h

24 小时成交额$188.68K

概率走势

  • Yes5.5%
  • No94.5%
圆点为大单
0%25%50%75%100%No · 买入 $36.28K · 92.7¢No · 买入 $15.15K · 89.9¢No · 买入 $24.84K · 81.8¢No · 买入 $17.34K · 79.9¢2026/10/292026/11/5
$36.28K
买入No
93¢
ImJustKen
刚刚39.1K
异常
$15.15K
买入No
90¢
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
刚刚16.8K
异常
$24.84K
买入No
82¢
Parz1vaI
刚刚30.4K
异常
$17.34K
买入No
80¢
ImJustKen
刚刚21.7K
异常
$34.62K
买入No
79¢
ImJustKen
刚刚43.7K
异常
$14.94K
卖出No
92¢
elmcap2
刚刚16.2K
异常
$11.22K
买入No
90¢
ImJustKen
刚刚12.5K
异常
$29.43K
买入No
92¢
ImJustKen
刚刚32.1K
异常
$14.48K
卖出No
88¢
tetrose
刚刚16.4K
异常
$10.31K
买入No
88¢
forever123
刚刚11.7K
异常
$31.2K
买入No
61¢
coali10
刚刚51.4K
异常
$10.82K
买入No
58¢
ImJustKen
刚刚18.7K
异常
$10.21K
卖出Yes
90¢
ImJustKen
刚刚11.3K
异常

最近 100 笔 ≥ $10K 成交

各结果买卖额

市场买入卖出
Yes$0$10.21K
No$221.21K$29.41K

参与交易员

复盘本场
结算规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.