PolyScott

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

实时概率 · 更新

Yes
19.1%
▲ 2.0% 24h
No
80.9%
▼ 2.0% 24h

24 小时成交额$267K

概率走势

  • Yes19.1%
  • No80.9%
圆点为大单
0%25%50%75%100%Yes · 买入 $34.46K · 17.8¢No · 买入 $13.41K · 82.0¢2026/10/292026/11/5
$34.46K
买入Yes
18¢
98better
刚刚193.3K
异常
$13.41K
买入No
82¢
zthunderfury
刚刚16.3K
异常
$47.65K
卖出No
73¢
okcoolstorybro
刚刚65.1K
异常
$20.4K
卖出No
55¢
okcoolstorybro
刚刚37.3K
异常
$102.15K
卖出No
78¢
okcoolstorybro
刚刚131.5K
异常
$25.46K
卖出Yes
12¢
okcoolstorybro
刚刚209.8K
异常
$73.87K
卖出No
80¢
okcoolstorybro
刚刚91.9K
异常
$26.86K
卖出No
81¢
dontshowmyname
刚刚33K
异常
$13.77K
卖出Yes
20¢
cry.eth2
刚刚69.7K
异常
$12.27K
卖出No
77¢
cry.eth2
刚刚15.9K
$42.4K
卖出No
79¢
cry.eth2
刚刚53.7K
异常
$53.23K
买入No
80¢
TeamA
刚刚66.7K
异常
$11.67K
买入No
78¢
lastminwin
刚刚15K
$10.51K
卖出No
75¢
machbut
刚刚14K
$22.95K
卖出No
76¢
machbut
刚刚30.3K
异常
$26.33K
卖出Yes
25¢
Katello
刚刚106.9K
异常
$10.33K
卖出No
75¢
machbut
刚刚13.8K
$11.66K
卖出No
75¢
machbut
刚刚15.5K
$39.54K
卖出No
75¢
machbut
刚刚53K
异常
$14.32K
卖出No
75¢
machbut
刚刚19.1K
异常

最近 100 笔 ≥ $10K 成交

各结果买卖额

市场买入卖出
Yes$318.42K$209.85K
No$1.08M$1.35M

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结算规则

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.