Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

实时概率 · 更新 11/05 21:32 UTC

Yes: 38.8%
No: 61.2%

24 小时成交额$340K

概率走势

Yes38.8%
No61.2%

圆点为大单

$38.17K

买入Yes

35¢

98better

刚刚108.8K

异常

$23.26K

买入Yes

35¢

98better

刚刚67.2K

异常

$10.21K

卖出Yes

37¢

BunCaCham

刚刚27.5K

$48.92K

卖出Yes

43¢

GCottrell93

刚刚114.7K

异常

$13.25K

卖出Yes

41¢

GCottrell93

刚刚32.1K

$10.67K

卖出Yes

45¢

Anon5566

刚刚23.9K

$25.37K

买入No

52¢

bifurcatio

刚刚49.2K

异常

$10.17K

买入Yes

48¢

Pog

刚刚21.2K

$11.29K

卖出No

56¢

BigRabbit

刚刚20K

$10.62K

卖出Yes

44¢

HyperwellNerdZ

刚刚24.2K

$19.49K

买入Yes

48¢

bangbingbong

刚刚40.3K

异常

$10.95K

买入Yes

46¢

fireponbabylon

刚刚23.8K

$12.91K

买入Yes

46¢

Evwo-Jaza

刚刚28.2K

$10.53K

买入Yes

44¢

98better

刚刚24K

$16.67K

买入Yes

43¢

98better

刚刚38.8K

$12.43K

买入Yes

38¢

98better

刚刚32.7K

$33.61K

买入Yes

37¢

98better

刚刚89.8K

异常

$34.14K

卖出Yes

37¢

y22

刚刚92.5K

异常

$14.65K

买入Yes

38¢

98better

刚刚38.9K

$18.54K

买入Yes

35¢

98better

刚刚53.2K

异常

最近 100 笔 ≥ $10K 成交

各结果买卖额

市场	买入	卖出
Yes	$464.77K	$261.62K
No	$103.2K	$121.22K

复盘本场

结算规则

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

概率走势

各结果买卖额

参与交易员