PolyScott

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

实时概率 · 更新

Yes
72.5%
▲ 4.0% 24h
No
27.5%
▼ 4.0% 24h

24 小时成交额$165.96K

概率走势

  • Yes72.5%
  • No27.5%
圆点为大单
15.5%32.75%50%67.25%84.5%Yes · 买入 $20K · 71.6¢Yes · 买入 $24.93K · 68.2¢Yes · 买入 $20K · 67.5¢Yes · 买入 $14.37K · 71.1¢2026/10/292026/11/5
$20K
买入Yes
72¢
Richidd
刚刚27.9K
异常
$24.93K
买入Yes
68¢
Richidd
刚刚36.5K
异常
$20K
买入Yes
68¢
Richidd
刚刚29.6K
异常
$14.37K
买入Yes
71¢
Anymix
刚刚20.2K
异常
$11.23K
卖出Yes
62¢
seal7
刚刚18K
异常
$11.4K
买入No
38¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
刚刚30K
异常
$34.25K
卖出Yes
62¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
刚刚55.2K
异常

最近 100 笔 ≥ $10K 成交

各结果买卖额

市场买入卖出
Yes$79.3K$45.48K
No$11.4K$0

参与交易员

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结算规则

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).