Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live probability · Updated
- Yes
- 4.4% ▼ 0.3% 24h
- No
- 95.6% ▲ 0.3% 24h
24h volume$236.93K
Probability
- Yes4.4%
- No95.6%
Dots mark big trades
- 24h volume
- $236.93K
- Total volume
- $14.73M
- End date
- 11/8/2028
Yes 4.3¢
No 95.7¢
Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K
Buy / sell by outcome
| Markets | Buy | Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | $11.88K | $0 |
| No | $124.52K | $0 |
Participating traders
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.