PolyScott

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
53.5%
▲ 23.0% 24h
No
46.5%
▼ 23.0% 24h

24h volume$157.87K

Probability

  • Yes53.5%
  • No46.5%
Dots mark big trades
23.3%36.65%50%63.35%76.7%Yes · Buy $28.1K · 51.0¢Yes · Buy $27.59K · 50.0¢10/29/202611/5/2026
$28.1K
BuyYes
51¢
Tokor
Just now55.1K
Unusual
$27.59K
BuyYes
50¢
Tokor
Just now55.2K
Unusual
$40.77K
BuyYes
36¢
boyau
Just now113.2K
Unusual
$10.66K
BuyNo
65¢
boyau
Just now16.4K
Unusual
$14.36K
BuyNo
75¢
JnStPrdctns
Just now19.1K
Unusual
$14.04K
SellYes
35¢
boyau
Just now40.1K
Unusual
$10.05K
BuyYes
30¢
boyau
Just now33.5K
Unusual
$18.74K
BuyYes
53¢
boyau
Just now35.4K
Unusual

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$125.25K$14.04K
No$25.02K$0

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.